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Friday, April 21, 2006

Politics - Analysis: October Surprise

A Fox Poll recently put GW Bush's approval rating at 33%. With oil hitting $75 a barrel and showing no sign of stopping it's climb, things are looking gloomy for the GOP this election cycle. We've already seen many of the GOP congress split with Bush on the Dubai Port deal, and many also part ways with him on illegal immigration. Regardless of this, the public's opinion of Bush and the GOP congress seem to be tied together for better or worse. With this in mind, there are people expecting an October Surprise. Some speculation on what this would be are:

1. capturing Osama bin Laden
2. another terror attack on US
3. military conflict with Iran
4. bird flu outbreak

All of these scenarios might give Bush (and GOP by proxy) a boost in an election by showing Bush "shine" in the one area that he still gets decent approval marks from the public for; terrorism and national security. God help us all if things are that out of hand!

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Arizona, United States